Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 20.863152 23.651207 26.693204 30.261879 34.337915 38.853100 44.240706
2025-01-26 16.903685 20.736612 25.277150 31.066887 38.274217 46.977953 58.327273
2025-02-02 14.500456 18.978816 24.655788 32.413894 42.793574 56.276061 75.238233
2025-02-09 12.450214 17.201636 23.576706 32.813792 45.953433 64.119562 91.392399
2025-02-16 10.591118 15.322855 21.986819 32.140145 47.368409 69.594686 104.924301
2025-02-23 9.189520 13.845408 20.689206 31.592204 48.735657 75.003084 118.964122
2025-03-02 8.104454 12.663791 19.628948 31.182411 50.145484 80.519288 133.816189
2025-03-09 7.302525 11.799282 18.916955 31.172587 52.106345 87.053442 151.157155
2025-03-16 6.610370 11.015080 18.218870 31.059013 53.818897 93.310120 168.825749
2025-03-23 6.244874 10.720568 18.276021 32.203212 57.798604 103.921198 195.802230
2025-03-30 5.761233 10.162626 17.810862 32.350390 59.975008 111.523498 218.188251
2025-04-06 5.182270 9.369302 16.838875 31.443300 60.048101 115.163281 233.268013
2025-04-13 4.720893 8.753649 16.145089 31.021547 61.090454 120.985148 254.096097
2025-04-20 4.499771 8.563231 16.221079 32.101927 65.264653 133.645146 291.509793
2025-04-27 4.345052 8.481952 16.494028 33.606406 70.510450 149.257797 338.075148
2025-05-04 4.088002 8.169415 16.275663 34.067834 73.602296 160.697647 377.062676
2025-05-11 3.742515 7.640180 15.561197 33.385532 74.091524 166.436818 403.467253
2025-05-18 3.445204 7.179265 14.937769 32.822659 74.767445 172.678277 432.148680
2025-05-25 3.190475 6.782028 14.406404 32.399049 75.704136 179.649570 463.874741
2025-06-01 2.994273 6.491252 14.074211 32.390071 77.623383 189.258712 504.225849
2025-06-08 2.807389 6.201985 13.714759 32.272324 79.257486 198.382693 544.875916
2025-06-15 2.730162 6.152311 13.890809 33.464024 84.344749 217.091976 615.950310
2025-06-22 2.586959 5.935756 13.658166 33.617383 86.768243 229.126742 669.841304